Khaberni - "Arab Weather" center issued, on Sunday, its seasonal weather bulletin for the winter season 2025-2026, which coincided with the winter solstice in the northern hemisphere, marking the official and astronomical start of the season, where the bulletin carried the features of a season characterized as "colder than usual," with rainfall rates around the general average, and promising statistical indicators regarding snowfall.
Variable systems and promising statistical indicators
The general forecasts for the season indicate the dominance of highly dynamic weather systems, with the expected formation of successive high-pressure areas in the northern hemisphere.
This pattern plays a pivotal role in rapidly increasing the variability of weather systems, allowing the entry of extremely cold air masses into the region, making the standout feature of this winter the low temperatures.
Regarding precipitation, the bulletin relied on "analogue years," which are previous seasons whose climatic indicators match the current season.
Statistics showed that 67% of these seasons recorded snow accumulation in the capital Amman, while indicating that 83% of those seasons experienced rainfall amounts around or above the average.
January 2026: A "bitterly cold" start
In the monthly details, January is expected to see rainfall around the general average, while temperatures will be colder than normal.
The chances of flood formation during this month are categorized as high, while snow chances range from medium to high.
This is due to the northern hemisphere areas being affected by high-pressure areas that push polar masses that plummet temperatures to low levels, with a noticeable increase in frost chances.
These masses are expected to sometimes move toward the Mediterranean to form rainy depressions that affect the kingdom.
February 2026: Peak activity and potential snow in Amman
As for the month of February, it is considered the peak of winter activity, with expected rainfall to be around to above average, and temperatures around to colder than average.
Dynamically, the influence of a high-pressure area on Western Europe is expected to increase, which drives cold, full-featured low-pressure systems towards the Eastern Mediterranean.
Statistics indicate an increased chance of snowfall during this month specifically on mid-elevation mountain ranges, including the highlands of the capital Amman, with intervals characterized by warmer air currents and stable weather sometimes.
March 2026: Winter in a spring cloak
Despite the approach of spring, March is characterized as "closer to winter than to spring," as analyses confirm the continued impact of rainy depressions on the kingdom, with a chance for late cold masses to increase the chances of snow above high mountain ranges.
The month will feature rapid changes in weather systems between depressions and periods of stability.
General overview and weather systems:
There are successive high pressures in the northern hemisphere that rapidly increase the variability of weather systems, allowing the entry of extremely cold air masses into the region, making this winter's feature cooler than usual.
There are recurrent active periods leading to rainy conditions in different areas, making the total precipitation "around the average."
Good statistical chances for snowfall based on analogue years previous winter seasons whose climate indicators match the current winter, where 67% of these matched seasons recorded snow accumulation in the capital Amman.
Statistical chances show that 83% of the matched seasons experienced rain amounts around or above the average.
January 2026:
Rainfall: Around the average.
Temperatures: Colder than average.
Flood chances: High.
Snow chances: Medium to high.
Weather systems: The northern areas of the northern hemisphere are expected to be affected by successive high pressures, leading to rapid variability in systems and the arrival of extremely cold air masses that drop temperatures to low levels with an increase in frost formation chances.
These masses are expected to sometimes move toward the Mediterranean to form rainy weather depressions that affect the kingdom.
February 2026
Rainfall: Around to above average.
Temperatures: Around to colder than average.
Flood chances: High.
Snow chances: Medium to high.
Weather systems: The influence of a high-pressure area on Western Europe is expected to increase, enhancing the effect on the kingdom and the Eastern Mediterranean by cold and rainy low-pressure systems.
Statistically, the chances of snowfall increase this month on mid-elevation mountain ranges (including the highlands of Amman). These depressions are separated by warmer than usual air currents and stable weather at times.
March 2026
Rainfall: Around the average.
Temperatures: Around the average.
Flood chances: Medium.
Snow chances: Medium.
