Khaberni - The number that gathers the population in South Yemen, the political situation, changing alliance affiliations, reliance on changing leaderships, with this the idea of the minority has changed; it is no longer confined to number, race, religion, or color, as a sign of leading to extortion.
Consensus meetings and the situational need to stop a battle that cannot be decisively ended; mean that state-building is beyond the capabilities of settlements generated by efforts like these, before these groups turn into a burden that the sponsoring state - which naturally cannot establish state institutions - seeks to neglect.
Temporary leaderships are the inevitable result of such a burden, ending as the interests they no longer inspire hope in. Reviewing some statements from former top-tier officials in Yemen, which relied on leaks through playing on the role of youth and women, it's a compelling evidence of the idea of division and mutual interests; these are partners in a mutually beneficial project, incapable of stopping a fight and imposing state dominance, satisfied with the images of conferences and satellite meetings, before ridding themselves of the rot of their legacy.
A division of this type involves intertwined directions; when observing the composition of the Yemeni leadership scene; we find in it a matter of interest; Islamic forces opposing previous regimes sometimes claim centrism; as a zone overlooking interests; it is possible to jump towards it whenever the need appears, while at the same time opposing Houthi forces, where the latter meet with similar or akin Islamic forces; supported by Iran, it seems that "Hamas" is not just an organization, but an idea manipulated by states, and utilized by Iran whenever it allows playing on all fronts, and finding a foothold that is transferable with changing circumstances.
How can a state be built upon this rubble of lurking for benefits?
In another scene, individuals who used to attack a specific state appear, and they are now preparing to hold meetings in it to resolve the issue of the south. It doubles the crisis in Yemen: those in power; are the backbone of Ali Abdullah Saleh's regime, seeking to solve his problems. Where were all these people: youth and women activists, symbols of moderation, and markers of legitimacy, before reaching this fate?
Isn’t this situation in Yemen their own making?
In the face of developments; notably the Houthi mobilization, amid its diminished intensity against Saudi Arabia, it seeks understandings with it; even with some concessions, and with Washington's attempt to diminish the importance of Saudi Arabia's role in Lebanon; through the latest framework agreement, and ignoring Rubio’s visit to it; Saudi Arabia faces two options; it must deal with them: either letting the Houthi advance at the expense of eliminating Emirati influence, or tightening on it, but this would alternatively mean a retreat in front of the Emirates, yet the sudden question arises: does this tightening come through the Houthi gateway or the Iranian gateway, there is a difference between the two situations, maybe Saudi interests require building bridges directly with Iranian branches independently of it.
After this strange picture; which perhaps was not absent from Israel's calculations, we can issue a warning to the people of South Yemen, stating: the necessity to prepare for an Israeli breach, which sneaks from the side of tempting the leaderships; with the possibility of providing support that serves the cause of independence, in a form that revisits the scene of Kurds, Druze, and Alawites of Syria, who were overwhelmed by Israel with promises that shifted all their hopes away from their old positions, to much lower ones.
Saudi Arabia's interest in Bab el-Mandeb; it drives it towards easing its crisis with the Houthi, especially after the emergence of Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz, this interest will proceed alongside attempts to choke Iran in Lebanon through regional intervention; this will push it towards consolidating its influence in Yemen.
Finally: To prevent a repeat in South Yemen of another "Mazloum Abdi" ready to withdraw from spaces sufficient for establishing a state, along with resources that exceed that for free, and to save the dream of a people from the hands of those begging for support from factions that deny, upon the Yemenis in general, and the sons of the South in particular; they need to change their ideas about the form of leadership and the way to build a state; keeping in mind; the necessity of overthrowing ideas: centralism, decentralism, federalism, and other such calculations.
