It is not strange those spiritual breezes that emanate from Trump's statements about the humanity of the goal, which took the path of supporting the oppressed in the process of opening the Strait of Hormuz; these breezes were not alone; many preceded it, the last of which were Trump's statements immediately after what was known as the "assassination attempt".
In our creed, the trader resorts to wearing the garment of love and connecting with the metaphysical when he wants to market his goods, not just any goods, but the spoiled or stagnant ones. The opportunities for ambush did not enable Trump to immediately destroy the Iranian regime; instead, these opportunities extended to a temporal limit that stirred a political volcano above an economic earthquake, which dominated the details of both the American and global scene. Towards the end of the debating period about his right to continue the military operation, Trump had to try a maneuver that allowed him to continue the game of "trenching in secrecy" and the ambush; announcing the end of his operation before Congress; thereby freeing himself from the ticking of the clock struck by his opponents.
This measure – according to the plan prepared in the moments following multiple failures – enabled him to slip from the position of a blamed attacker to that of a praised defender, as military supplies continued coinciding with the cessation of internal political pressure due to the aforementioned factors, plus his new front which his Democratic opponent sparked in our region, which he had not anticipated in terms of form or arrangement; we will leave its detail to another place.
The commencement of the defense mission: required that there be an Iranian attack initiative, which Iran was eager to deprive Trump of; so as not to grant him the excuse to continue, and indeed disabled all his attempts to tighten the noose on it regarding the siege issue; as it outmaneuvered him with negotiation theses rejected by the Iranians themselves before the Americans. Iran was nevertheless distracting its opponent and draining his capacity to endure the siege, which began to bring Europe closer to Iran than to America, even within certain calculations.
These factors and others: led to the spreading of oil at the edges of the fire; in a move that led Europe – from Trump's perspective – to change its stance, which he tried to pressure from several angles, the latest of which was the announcement of withdrawing troops from Germany, naturally part of the force not all of it, and before that threatening to withdraw from NATO, which he was not serious about – of course – because there are calculations that ensure Europe keeps Trump's threats within its framework, in addition to the insults directed by the German Chancellor about Iran humiliating the United States. This pressure directed at Europe does not stop there, but extends to the calculations of China and Russia; by raising the profit margin in a deal with Trump, pulling their support of Iran, at the same time Trump believed these multiple directional deals would not ensure him a good outcome; considering the differing impact capacities that result from Iran's allies turnover among other regimes, like Assad's regime, and this is the same idea these allies are pondering.
We conclude with reference to another failure: It seems that Trump did not succeed in overcoming it, which is also linked to the European side, in terms of presenting a bleak picture of their attempt to leave him alone, this last failure was represented in: the results of the last call between Putin and Trump; which revealed that the smell of negotiations about a deal between them had started to emerge publicly, but disagreements on some details are still impeding a significant change in the course of events. Regarding Europe's bogeyman in this call: Trump affirmed that Ukraine was militarily defeated by the Russian army; in a form that places the Europeans’ sacrifices for its resilience as an ally at the mercy of the winds.
As for Iran: It appeared that although the deal started well, it still stands at certain limits, especially with the Russian side's caution, which offered little support to Iran, perhaps in the field of communications, intelligence, drone development, shoulder-carried air defenses; to achieve a bigger return, whether from the Iranian regime if it remains, or from the United States if the deal completes. Trump hinted that the conflicts in Ukraine and Iran would almost end at the same time, he may not be serious, and all he wanted was to issue a warning to both Iran and Europe indicating: that the matter is now in his hands. We do not agree with the idea of tactics and ambiguity in Trump's statements, as a form of his artistry; they are a clear expression of the confusion engendered by his hasty and disturbed intelligence operations, and the weakness of his team, nothing more.
Based on these considerations and others; this humanitarian mission has not been absent from its intelligence goals, which through it wanted to understand more about its previous failures. According to our previous indication of the inaccuracy of intelligence information, moreover its confusion, it appears that the initial intelligence goal of this operation, which should serve as a prelude to a decisive operation, preceded by serious ambush efforts, benefits from past mistakes; lies in obtaining information from within, namely the location of docked ships, via their crews, in addition to planting human and technical devices serving such a mission, information that neither the US satellite system nor its intelligence agents have been able to obtain.
