Khaberni - The regional director of "Arab Weather," Mohammad Al-Shaker, said that the initial outlook for the upcoming winter is positive.
He explained on the program "Nabd Al-Balad" that the indicators for December (Kanun Al-Awal) suggest the coming month will be a rainy season within the average ranges or higher, with a likely recovery in rainfall. He recalled that the warmth of November (Tishreen Al-Thani) in the years 2012 and 2021 preceded cold and rainy seasons.
Al-Shaker indicated that the kingdom is experiencing "severe conditions" due to a significant delay in rainfall and a significant increase in temperatures.
He explained that climatic studies point to variability in the rainy seasons from one year to another.
To put things in historical context, Al-Shaker noted that last year's winter was one of the least rainy in a hundred years, with only four low-pressure systems recorded, and the season ended early.
Al-Shaker clarified that what is occurring is an "exceptional situation," but he reassured that "variability at the start of the rainy season is typical in our climate," pointing out that in 50 out of the last 100 years the season started weakly, and 65% of those ended with abundant rainfall.
Al-Shaker confirmed that the rise in temperatures and the delay in the rainy season negatively affect the plant and animal resources, noting that temperatures have broken previous record highs.
Regarding the timing of the rains, he mentioned that the last 10 years saw the onset of rains in the third or fourth week of November (Tishreen Al-Thani), recalling that the warmth of this month is not recurrent.
In response to the question, "When will we see the rain?", Al-Shaker affirmed that "a week from now, which is the second week of November, Jordan may experience its first rainy winter," in the form of "an unstable weather condition," which is random rain that ends the drought.
He emphasized that Jordan is "in dire need of a comprehensive low-pressure system."
Al-Shaker called for the necessity of having a "monitoring cell" for the situation he described as "worrying," stressing the importance of preparedness and revising the state of dams and water resources.
He noted that the current solution requires rationalizing water consumption, pointing out that the entire Levant is suffering from a lack of rainfall.
